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The Roaring 2000s: Building the Wealth and Life Style You Desire in the Greatest Boom in History, by Harry S. Dent

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From Library Journal

Dent's previous book The Great Boom Ahead (Hyperion, 1993) accurately predicted the stock market boom of the 1990s. In this one, he looks ahead to the new millennium and claims that the Dow may reach as high as 35,000 within the next decade, due in large part to the changing demographics of baby boom investors.Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc.

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From Booklist

Dent has made his career from his rosy prognostications. He offered employment tips in Great Jobs Ahead: Your Comprehensive Guide to Surviving and Prospering in the Coming Work Revolution (1995) and provided business advice in The Great Boom Ahead: Your Comprehensive Guide to Personal and Business Profit in the New Era of Prosperity (1993). Now he turns his attention to investment strategies, predicting that the next 10 years will see the greatest boom in the history of this country and projecting the Dow stock-market average to reach a dizzying 21,500! Dent argues that these events are inevitable, the obvious results of demographic trends that determine economic, technological, and social changes. He looks at the information revolution and the Internet in particular and sees consumers finally warming to the idea of the electronic marketplace; he forecasts a mass migration to exurbia that will lead to a major real-estate boom; and he looks at the consequences of the networked corporation. Dent then looks at the implications these changes suggest for investment strategies. David Rouse

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Product details

Hardcover: 320 pages

Publisher: Simon & Schuster (April 14, 1998)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0684838184

ISBN-13: 978-0684838182

Product Dimensions:

6.4 x 1.1 x 9.6 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.0 out of 5 stars

50 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,466,785 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I can't give this one 5 stars, mainly because some of the author's "predictions" seem a bit wild and far-fetched and not grounded in hard-core statistical formulas that add up. But his general theories about the way baby boomers will age and affect the economy is valid and this book provides plenty of food for thought. I think it makes sense that many baby boomers, as Dent suggests, will have to allocate more and more of their income for health care and may also wish to downsize and spend less money as they age - or they may have no other choice but to spend less. As a firm believer that spending goes in cycles and that people of various ages spend differently, this book held a lot of information that I found useful. But if you read it with the idea that EVERY prediction is set in stone and will come true, you're better off going to a fortune teller. Take it for what it is worth, a set of theories or general ideas and trust your own instincts. When seen in this light, the book is an intriguing and even eye-opening read.

I have been a technology investor for over a decade, and done very well because I acutally understand technology and investing. I am glad to find an economist (I'm coming from the scientific side of this equation) who actually understands "gets it" from the economic side. Read this book, understands its fundamental concepts, and put it to work! I feel you will profit greatly(I know I am - heading for early retirement with a very nice income). I am giving this book to several of my friends.

After reading Dent's superb book "The Great Boom Ahead" I was really looking forward to this book. However, aside from repeating himself, this book provides little new insight. Stick with his other book, and don't waste your time on this one.

great product

Who could have blamed Harry Dent for his blissfully optimistic prediction of a roaring economy in general and stock market in particular in the first decade of the 2000s? After all, the markets had already increased several-fold in previous years, the NASDAQ in particular was going up and up and up, the economy was great, and his own technical analysis indicated a continued growth of unprecedented proportions. The problem was that Harry could not foresee 911, the pricking of the dot.com bubble, the collapse of Enron, or, toward the end of the first decade of the millennium, the collapse of the housing market. But while none of us is prescient concerning the future, all of us should realize that economic bubbles don't last forever. Whether we're dealing with tulip bulbs, baseball cards, or tech companies, growth always has its limit. And a rapid rise in value is almost always followed by a period of deflation. Dent certainly knew all this. But he ignored it. This time it would be different. And that's the way that people who invest when the bubble is about to burst always think. But it's never different. The bubble pops. And the optimistic predictions are never fulfilled. If you read this book, read it only as a period piece and a study in irrational exuberance.

Harry S. Dent is a very intelligent person and has a good understanding of why markets work as they do. When I first read this book in 2000 I was impressed with his analysis. And if one wants to read this book solely for its technical analysis, then it's still worth reading.However, markets are influenced by a number of factors--the political and geopolitical situation, investor confidence, and the like. These factors are much harder to predict. Because of this, predictions concerning future market trends are inherently risky. Dent should have known this when he wrote his book and kept his predictions modest.Certainly Dent couldn't have known in advance about the collapse of Enron, the 9/11 attacks, and other events that weighed down the stock market in the first couple years of the new decade. Nor could he have foreseen how misguided policies in both the public and private sectors would bring about the deep recession of 2008-2009. But he certainly should have sensed in 1999 (when this book was published) that the stock market, which had skyrocket for most of the decade, was already overvalued, and that the Nasdaq and dot.com bubbles couldn't last. Had he seen this, it is doubtful that he would have made the predictions that he did.Which leads me to another reason to read this book. It's a great example of the sort of irrational exuberance that one finds whenever things are going well. Along with "Dow 36,000" (the paradigm of the irrational optimism of the era), it shows how even intelligent analysts can get caught up in the excitement of the moment, and, leaving reason to one side, make predictions that in retrospect are truly laughable.

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